Environmental Policies as a Path to the Development of Circular Economy - the EU Perspective

Authors

  • Ulugbek Ismoilov Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Law Rotterdam Institute of Law and Economics Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55845/joce-2026-4187

Keywords:

Circular Economy, Resource Management, Recycling, Environmental Law

Abstract

Circular economy is a dynamic and integrative framework within modern environmental economics, designed to reduce resource dependency, mitigate climate issues, and foster regenerative systems. The transition to a circular economy is a key pillar of the European sustainable development concept. However, under current volatility in the global context, the efficiency and effectiveness of this shift remain under concern. Underpinned by limited quantitative research on the efficacy of circular economy policies, it is important for authorities to consider and mitigate external factors influencing the transition. This paper empirically assesses the degree of impact the new circular economy action plan has on circular economy among the European countries during the period of 2010-2023. As one of the main pillars of circular economy is waste management, the recycling rate of municipal waste is used as an indicator of circular economy. The objective of this research is to identify whether the circular economy action plan significantly increased the circular economy (measured by recycling rate). Furthermore, other variables, which are expected to impact the adoption of the circular economy model, are included in the model. The study uses an econometric approach based on a multiple linear regression model with fixed effects. Also, tests for cross-sectional dependence, stationarity, and cointegration are performed. The results indicate that the adoption of the action plan substantially improved the circular economy and structured the process of transition. In addition, R&D expenditure and all types of government ideology are found to have significant positive effects, whereas no strong relationship is identified between wealth and urbanization level. Overall, policies are found to have a positive impact, however, as a circular economy is a broad concept, there are many factors influencing the process.

 

 

References

Armingeon, K. et al. (2025). Comparative Political Data Set 1960-2023. Zurich/Lueneburg/Lucerne: University of Zurich, Leuphana University Lueneburg, and University of Lucerne.

Arslan, E. et al. (2024). The influence of government ideology on the rate of e-waste recycling in the European Union countries. PLoS ONE, 19(3). https://doi.org/ 10.1371/journal.pone.0297408

Baltagi, B. (2001) Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. 2nd Edition, John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.

Banjerdpaiboon, A. and Limleamthong, L. (2023). Assessment of national circular economy performance using super-efficiency dual data envelopment analysis and Malmquist productivity index: Case study of 27 European countries. 9 (6). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16584

Berglund, C. and Soderholm, P. (2003). Complementing Empirical Evidence on Global Recycling and Trade of Waste Paper. World Development, 31(4), 743-754. https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/wdevel/v31y2003i4p743-754.html

Boulding, K.E. (1966). The Economics of the Coming Spaceship Earth. In H. Jarrett (ed.) 1966. Environmental Quality in a Growing Economy, 3-14. Baltimore, MD: Resources for the Future/Johns Hopkins University Press. https://arachnid.biosci.utexas.edu/courses/thoc/readings/boulding_spaceshipearth.pdf

Callan, S.J. and Thomas, J.M. (1997). The Impact of State and Local Policies on the Recycling Effort. Eastern Economic Journal, 23 (4), 411-423. https://web.holycross.edu/RePEc/eej/Archive/Volume23/V23N4P411_423.pdf

Camilleri, M.A. (2020). European environment policy for the circular economy: Implications for business and industry stakeholders. Sustainable Development, 28, 1804–1812. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2113

Cardoso, J.L. (2018). The circular economy: historical grounds. Lisbon: Imprensa de Ciências Sociais, 115-127. https://www.ics.ulisboa.pt/books/book3/ch04.pdf

Castro, C.G. et al. (2022). The rebound effect of circular economy: Definitions, mechanisms and a research agenda. Journal of Cleaner Production, 345, 131-136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.131136

Chen, Ch. And Pao, H. (2022). The Causal Link Between Circular Economy and Economic Growth In EU-25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1339591/v1

Cho, S.Y. and Jung, J. (2023). How Do Individualism and Collectivism Influence Pro-Environmental Purchasing Behavior Based on Environmental Self-Identity? Sustainability, 15 (22), 16075. https://doi.org/10.3390/su152216075

Cho, Y.N. et al. (2013). To be or not to be green: Exploring individualism and collectivism as antecedents of environmental behavior. Journal of business research, 66 (8), 1052-1059. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2012.08.020

Corral-Verdugo, V. (2003). Situational and personal determinants of waste control practices in northern Mexico: a study of reuse and recycling behaviors. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 39, 265-281. doi:10.1016/s0921-3449(03)00032-6

D’Adamo et al. (2024). Towards circular economy indicators: Evidence from the European Union. Waste Management and Research. 42(8), 670-680. doi:10.1177/0734242X241237171

De Hoyos, R.E. and Sarafidis, V. (2006). Testing for cross-sectional dependence in panel-data models. The Stata Journal, 6 (4), 482–496. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/1536867X0600600403

De Morais, L.H., Pinto, D.C. and Cruz-Jesus, F. (2021). Circular economy engagement: Altruism, status, and cultural orientation as drivers for sustainable consumption. Sustainable Production and Consumption. doi:10.1016/j.spc.2021.01.019

Deutsche Recycling (2021). The German recycling rate compared to other European countries. https://deutsche-recycling.com/blog/the-german-recycling-rate-compared-to-other-european-countries/#

Dururu, J. et al. (2015). Enhancing engagement with community sector organizations working in sustainable waste management: a case study. Waste Management and Research, 33 (3), 284–290. https://doi.org/10.1177/0734242X14567504

EcoStar (2023). The Evolution of Recycling in Italy: Data, Trends, and Innovations. https://ecostar.eu.com/recycling-in-italy-2023-key-material-and-innovations-ecostar/#:~:text=Estimates%20indicate%20that%20over%2080%25%20of%20glass,4.3%20million%20t ons%20of%20paper%20and%20cardboard.&text=In%202022%2C%2073.6%25%20of%20aluminum%2 0packaging%20introduced,Italy%2C%20equivalent%20to%2060%2C200%20tons%2C%20was%20recy cled

EEA (2022). Consumers can play key role in creating demand for ‘circular’ goods and services. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/newsroom/news/consumers-key-role-creating-demand

EEA (2023). Markets for many commonly recycled materials struggles in the EU. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/newsroom/news/markets-commonly-recycled-materialsstruggle

EEA (2024a). Circular economy country profiles 2024. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/topics/in-depth/circular-economy/country-profiles-on-circular-economy/circular-economy-country-profiles-2024

EEA (2024b). Waste recycling in Europe. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/indicators/waste-recycling-in-europe

Ek, K. and Söderholm, P. (2008). Norms and economic motivation in the Swedish green electricity

market. Ecological Economics, 68 (1–2), 169-182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.02.013

Ellen Macarthur Foundation (2015). Which country is leading the circular economy shift? https://ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/articles/which-country-is-leading-the-circular-economy-shift

European Commission (2020a). Circular Economy Action Plan – For a cleaner and more competitive Europe. Brussels

European Commission (2020b). Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions -Closing the loop - An EU action plan for the Circular Economy. Brussels

European Commission (2023), Waste Early Warning Report. https://environment.ec.europa.eu/publications/waste-early-warning-report_en

European Environment Agency (2024). Europe’s circular economy in facts and figures. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/europes-circular-economy-in-facts?activeTab=0075380f-a9f2-4d1a-9c33-44481b8e5753

European Parliament (2008). Directive 2008/98/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 19 November 2008 on waste and repealing certain Directives (Text with EEA relevance). http://data.europa.eu/eli/dir/2008/98/2008-12-12

European Parliament (2018a). Directive (EU) 2018/851 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 2018 amending Directive 2008/98/EC on waste (Text with EEA relevance). http://data.europa.eu/eli/dir/2018/851/oj

European Parliament (2018b). Directive (EU) 2018/849 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 2018 amending Directives 2000/53/EC on end-of-life vehicles, 2006/66/EC on batteries and accumulators and waste batteries and accumulators, and 2012/19/EU on waste electrical and electronic equipment (Text with EEA relevance). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2018/849/oj/eng

European Parliament (2018c). Directive (EU) 2018/850 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 2018 amending Directive 1999/31/EC on the landfill of waste (Text with EEA relevance). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2018/850/oj/eng

European Parliament (2018d). Directive (EU) 2018/852 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 2018 amending Directive 94/62/EC on packaging and packaging waste (Text with EEA relevance). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2018/852/oj/eng

European Parliament (2021). How the EU wants to achieve a circular economy by 2050. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/topics/en/article/20210128STO96607/how-the-eu-wants-to-achieve-a-circular-economy-by-2050

European Parliament (2023). Circular economy: definition, importance and benefits. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/topics/en/article/20151201STO05603/circular-economy-definition-importance-and-benefits

EuroStat (2023). EU’s circular material use rate slightly up in 2022. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/ddn-20231114-2#:~:text=In%202022%2C%20the%20highest%20circularity,3.2%25%20(no%20change)

EuroStat (2025). GERD by sector of performance and fields of R&D [rd_e_gerdsc custom_16131431]. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/rd_e_gerdsc custom_16131431/default/table

Fellner, J. and Lederer, J. (2020). Recycling rate – The only practical metric for a circular economy?

Waste Management, (113), 319-320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2020.06.013

Fric, U. (2021). Impact of Circular Economy as the EU’s Ambitious Policy. Research in Social Change, 11 (2). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/rsc-2019-0010

Gaur, J. et al. (2019). Towards building circular economy: A cross-cultural study of consumers’ purchase intentions for reconstructed products. Management Decision, 57 (4), 886-903. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-07-2018-0728

Georgescu, I. et al. (2022). Empirical evidence on circular economy and economic development in Europe: a panel approach. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 23(1), 199–217. https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2022.16050

Georgescu, L.P. et al. (2025). Approaches and perspectives on the transition to the circular economy in the European Union. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 13:1533776. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1533776

Gerbeti. A, (2020). Circular economy. Italian Encyclopedia of the Treccani Institute.

Grafton, R.Q. (2014). "Household behavior and water use", in Greening Household Behavior: Overview from the 2011 Survey - Revised edition. OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264214651-9-en

Grdic, Z.S. et al. (2020). Circular Economy Concept in the Context of Economic Development in EU Countries. Sustainability, 12 (7), 3060. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12073060

Guerin, D., Crete, J. and Mercier, J. (2001). A Multilevel Analysis of the Determinants of Recycling Behavior in the European Countries. Social Science Research, 30 (2), 195-218. https://doi.org/10.1006/ssre.2000.0694

Hartley, K. et al. (2023). A policy framework for the circular economy: Lessons from the EU. Journal of Cleaner Production, 412, 137-176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137176

Hashmi, R. and Alam, K. (2019). Dynamic relationship among environmental regulation, innovation, CO2 emissions, population, and economic growth in OECD countries: A panel investigation. Journal of Cleaner Production, 231, 1100-1109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.05.325

Health and Environment Alliance (no date). WALKING THE CIRCLE – the 4 guiding pillars for a Circular Economy: Efficient material management, reduction of toxic substances, energy efficiency and economic incentives. https://env-health.org/IMG/pdf/walking_the_circle.pdf

Hofstede, G. (2001). Culture's consequences: Comparing values, behaviors, institutions and organizations across nations.2nd ed., Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA.

Jackson, T. (2005). Motivating Sustainable Consumption a review of evidence on consumer behavior and behavioral change. Sustainable Development Research Network. https://timjackson.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Jackson.-2005.-Motivating-Sustainable-Consumption.pdf

Jackson, T. (2009). Prosperity without growth? Economics for a finite planet. London: Earthscan/Sustainable Development Commission. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1530-9290.2009.00151.x

Kirchherr, J. et al. (2018). Barriers to the Circular Economy: Evidence from the European Union (EU). Ecological Economics, 150, 264-272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.04.028

Knill, C. and Tosun, J. (2012). Public Policy: A New Introduction. https://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/public-policy-9781137573292/

Korhonen, J. et al. (2018). Circular economy as an essentially contested concept. Journal of Cleaner Production, 175, 544–552. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.12.111

Kostakis, I. and Tsagarakis, P.K. (2021). Social and economic determinants of materials recycling and circularity in Europe: an empirical investigation. The Annals of Regional Science. doi:10.1007/s00168-021-01074-x

Kumar, A. (2019). Exploring young adults’ e-waste recycling behavior using an extended theory of planned behavior model: A cross-cultural study. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 141(), 378–389. doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.10.013

Le, T. D. and Kieu, T. A. (2019). Ethically minded consumer behavior in Vietnam. Asia Pacific Journal of Marketing and Logistics. doi:10.1108/APJML-12-2017-0344

Liu, Z. et al. (2024). Implementing circular economy principles: evidence from multiple cases. Production Planning & Control, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2024.2415417

Malooly, L. and Daphne, T. (2023). R-Strategies for a Circular Economy. https://www.circularise.com/blogs/r-strategies-for-a-circular-economy

Martin, R. et al. (2017). CO2 sensing in fungi: at the heart of metabolic signaling. Current Genetics, 63, 965–972. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00294-017-0700-0

Mazur-Wierzbicka, E. (2021). Circular economy: advancement of European Union countries. Environmental Sciences Europe, 33, 111. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12302-021-00549-0

Mazzanti, M. and Zoboli, R. (2008). Waste generation, waste disposal and policy effectiveness: Evidence on decoupling from the European Union. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 52 (10), 1221-1234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2008.07.003

Meyer, A. (2015). Does education increase pro-environmental behavior? Evidence from Europe. Ecological Economics, 116, 108-121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.04.018

Mies, A. and Gold, S. (2021). Mapping the social dimension of the circular economy. Journal of Cleaner Production, 321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128960

Milfont, T.L. and Schultz, P.W. (2016). Culture and the natural environment. Current Opinion in Psychology, (8), 194-199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2015.09.009

Milfont, T.L. and Schultz, P.W. (2018). The Role of Attitudes in Environmental Issues. Handbook of Attitudes, (2): Applications. Routledge, 27. ISBN: 9781315178080

Moraga, G. et al. (2019). Circular economy indicators: What do they measure? Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 146, 452-461. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.03.045

Nils Johansson, N. (2021). Does the EU’s Action Plan for a Circular Economy Challenge the Linear

Economy? Environmental Science & Technology, 55(22), 15001-15003. DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c06194

Nogueira, A. (2023). Are Soft Legal Measures in Circular Economy Action Plans Enough to Permeate EU Strong Economic Core Regulations Bringing Systemic Sustainable Change? Circular Economy and Sustainability, 3, 1545–1568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43615-022-00227-0

OECD (2023), The Circular Economy in Tallinn, Estonia, OECD Urban Studies, OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/06abc3de-en

OECD (2024). Monitoring Progress Towards a Resource-Efficient and Circular Economy. OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/3b644b83-en

OECD (2025). The Circular Economy in Cities and Regions of the European Union. OECD Urban Studies, OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/e09c21e2-en

OECD Data Explorer (2025). Waste - Municipal waste: generation and treatment. https://data-explorer.oecd.org/vis?fs[0]=Topic%2C1%7CEnvironment%20and%20climate%20change%23ENV%23%7CResource%20efficiency%20and%20circular%20economy%23ENV_REC%23&pg=0&fc=Topic&bp=true&snb=6&vw=tb&df[ds]=dsDisseminateFinalDMZ&df[id]=DSD_MUNW%40DF_MUNW&df[ag]=OECD.ENV.EPI&df[vs]=1.0&dq=.A.RECYCLING.PT_WST_TR&pd=2010%2C&to[TIME_PERIOD]=false

Oluwadipe, S. et al. (2021). A critical review of household recycling barriers in the United Kingdom.

Waste Management & Research, 40 (2021), 905 – 918. DOI:10.1177/0734242X211060619

Önder, H. (2018). Makro açıdan çevresel politikaların atık yaratma üzerindeki etkisinin panel veri analizi ile ölçülmesi: seçilmiş OECD ülkeleri üzerine bir analiz, IV International Conference on Applied Economics and Finance. 358-371. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/525632

Rajčić, V. et al. (2025). Cultural and Societal Challenges for Circular Strategies Implementation.

Sustainability, 17(1), 220. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17010220

Ren, Q. and Albrecht, J. (2023). Toward circular economy: The impact of policy instruments on circular economy innovation for European small medium enterprises. Ecological Economics, 207, 107761. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107761

Renfors, S. (2024). Education for the circular economy in higher education: an overview of the current state. International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education. https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/ijshe-07-2023-0270/full/html

Robaina, M. et al. (2020). The determinants for a circular economy in Europe. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. doi:10.1007/s11356-020-07847-9

Rockström, J. W. et al. (2009). Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity. Ecology and Society, 14(2): 32. http://www. ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss2/art32/

Sanz-Torro, V. et al. (2025). Analysis of European positioning on environmental sustainability: A review. Sustainable Technology and Entrepreneurship, 4 (3), 100-112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stae.2025.100112

Sanz-Torro, V. et al. (2025). Assessment of European countries’ national circular economy policies. Journal of Environmental Management, (373), 123835. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123835

Sidique, S.F. et al. (2010). Factors influencing the rate of recycling: An analysis of Minnesota counties. Resources, Conservations and Recycling, 54(4), 242–249. doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2009.08.006

Silvestri, F. et al. (2020). Regional development of Circular Economy in the European Union: A multidimensional analysis. Journal of Cleaner Production, 255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120218

Smol, M. et al. (2018). Public awareness of circular economy in southern Poland: Case of the Malopolska region. Journal of Cleaner Production, 197, 1035-1045. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.06.100

Spani, R.C. (2020). The New Circular Economy Action Plan. Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Brief.

Suchek, N. et al. (2021). Innovation and the Circular Economy: A Systematic Literature Review. Business Strategy and the Environment, 30 (8), 3686–3702. https://doi.org/10.1002/bsd2.70140

Szabó, M. and Horváth, G. Á. (2024). Circular Economy Good Practices as Drivers of Interregional Learning in the Interregional CENTRAL EUROPE NiCE Project. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/385684232_SZABO_M_HORVATH_GY_A_CIRCULAR_EC ONOMY_GOOD_PRACTICES_AS_DRIVERS_OF_INTERREGIONAL_LEARNING_Circular_Economy_Good_Practices_as_Drivers_of_Interregional_Learning_in_the_Interreg_CENTRAL_EUROPE_NiC E_Proje

Tantau, A.D. et al. (2018). Models for Analyzing the Dependencies between Indicators for a Circular Economy in the European Union. Sustainability, 10(7), 2141. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10072141

Tebernero, C. et al. (2015). A multilevel perspective to explain recycling behavior in communities. Journal of Environmental Management, 159, 192-201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.05.024

Teisl, et al. (2008). Non-dirty dancing? Interactions between eco-labels and consumers. Journal of Economic Psychology, 29 (2), 140-159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2007.04.002

The Government of the Netherlands (2025). Circular Dutch Economy by 2050. https://www.government.nl/topics/circular-economy/circular-dutch-economy-by-2050

Tiippana-Usvasalo, M. et al. (2023). The role of education in promoting circular economy. International Journal of Sustainable Engineering, 16(1), 92-103. DOI:10.1080/19397038.2023.2210592

Weber, H. and Sciubba, J.D. (2019). The Effect of Population Growth on the Environment: Evidence from European Regions. European Journal of Population, 35, 379–402. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-018-9486-0

Wen, J. et al. (2016). Does government ideology influence environmental performance? Evidence based on a new dataset. Economic Systems, 40 (2), 232-246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2016.04.001

World Business Council for Sustainable Development (2020). Circular Economy Action Plan (CEAP) 2020 summary for business: Implications and next steps. https://docs.wbcsd.org/2020/11/WBCSD_Circular_Economy_Action_Plan_2020%E2%80%93Summary_ for_business.pdf

World Development Indicators (2025). GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2021 international $). https://databank.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD/1ff4a498/Popular-Indicators#

World Development Indicators (2025). Urban population (% of total population). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS

Yousefi, M. et al. (2021). Municipal solid waste management during COVID-19 pandemic: effects and repercussions. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 32200–32209. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14214-9

Zambrano-Monserrate, M.A. et al. (2020). Indirect effects of COVID-19 on the environment. Science of the Total Environment, (728). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138813

Zavos, S. et al. (2024). The (missing) social aspect of the circular economy: a review of social scientific articles. Sustainable Earth Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1186/s42055-024-00083-w

Zhang, N. et al. (2023). A review of spatial characteristics influencing circular economy in the built environment. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 30, 54280–54302. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26326-5

Downloads

Published

13-01-2026

Data Availability Statement

This study uses secondary data obtained from publicly accessible sources. The datasets used in this article are available from the OECD Data Explorer, World Development Indicators, Eurostat, Comparative PoliticalData Set and Geert Hofstedes’ Dimension data matrix. These datasets are openly accessible subject to the providers’ standard terms of use. No proprietary or confidential data were used. Any other data used in theanalysis is available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Issue

Section

Research Articles

Categories

How to Cite

Ismoilov, U. . (2026). Environmental Policies as a Path to the Development of Circular Economy - the EU Perspective. Journal of Circular Economy, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.55845/joce-2026-4187